Redbull Needs a Manufacturer
'Quitting Honda might have pushed Redbull to Renault, but it has to go beyond Renault'
We all know how the Cyril vs Horner relationship ended. It's pretty sour, and like any corporate structure, it has come to bite them back. With Honda pulling out and Renault the only feasible option, Redbull might have to get their foot rolling. The entry of Aston Martin-Mercedes partnership starts a new era of Aston's program in F1 but considering how it is faring on its sportscars program, Aston building an engine seems to be a rut. A few years ago Matt Le Blac (Joey from Friends) from Top Gear had criticized Aston for losing its British legacy by using a Merc engine. Aston Martin's recent dilemma means either Redbull has to sell the team and see itself only as a sponsor involved (with a reputation on hot wires) or open itself a new avenue.
Also seemingly, Max Verstappen might switch sides, if Marko and Horner fail to present him with a solid car.
Porsche seems like a great avenue, considering the Germans and the Austrians have a great relationship. With the Porsche engine program dying in the 1990s, even before completing a good lap, a revamped Porsche on the F1 grid will be worth a watch. Like Mercedes, it has experienced LeMans and knows about building a turbo hybrid system. Though it might be different compared to LeMans or WEC, the F1 hybrid system is effectively something Porsche might be ready to invest in given the opportunity.
Porsche has the know how to the Hybrid systems and might be of great help to Rebull
If Porsche, decides it will not go ahead, either Toyota or Audi, can pull the weight for Redbull. Both teams have been successful in the LMP1 classes and have the know-how at their disposal. While the cost cap and the inverted timed wind tunnel testing might bring teams a bit closer, Redbull isn't far from being in the Red. McLaren though may switch to Mercedes engine and might struggle a bit it 2021; the Racing Point F1 Team is a formidable enemy. Racing Point in the next two or three years might be able to see a win, which would mean Redbull will be battling a real hard battle with midfielders.
Audi and Toyota might be a feasible option for a engine program but they would prefer a buyout
While the Redbull Technology Center might be advanced, the capability of sustainable technology that is in the hands of Mercedes, Toyota, Audi, Renault and other teams is far superior compared to the Lamborghinis and Ferraris. A 2.2 Liter turbocharged Lotus Elise might become faster than a Redbull if it doesn't get its foot right. From what information we've as of now is Redbull can't build an engine and might have to either depend on Renault, which if they don't like, would mean they will have to choose Ferrari or Mercedes. While the Ferrari deal might come with a lot of pain and a vat of acid, the Mercedes deal will fall through. The rivalling teams will not be able to get the value they want which is beneficial for both the sides.
If Redbull needs Max Verstappen then it might have to change it's success formula
Redbull's general engineering and financial philosophy along with it's approach to all its programs might thus have to change, and it might have to partner with a new manufacturer if it wants to win a fifth constructors title. So let's wait for the 2021 season and see what Rebull has in stores.