The manual gearbox should soon disappear because of driving aids
Autonomous driving does not mix well with a stick shift
It has long been known that the days of the manual transmission are numbered due to the massive electrification of our cars. This type of transmission is completely dispensable in electric vehicles, since they offer a large and constant torque over a very wide operating range.
On the other hand, hybrid cars also have to be automated because the system must manage the transitions between the electric motor and the thermal unit itself. Despite this race for electrification, manual gearboxes could already begin to disappear from purely internal combustion vehicles.
Driving aids are becoming more and more present due to the many regulations. Automatic emergency braking, for example, is much more effective with an automatic transmission than a manual gearbox. The same applies to semi-autonomous driving, which is much more efficient with an automatic transmission.
It is still possible to link semi-autonomous driving to the manual gearbox, but this would entail significant design costs that will inevitably be passed on to customers. Faced with increasingly strict safety standards, it is therefore almost certain that the manual gearbox will disappear even before the full electrification of cars.
Photo credits Dacia