The most successful GT3 car of 2018 is....
I put together some statistics to work out which car is the most successful GT3 competitor of the year. The result will shock you!
As the 2018 Motorsport season comes to an end and race-fuel sniffing fans around the world get ready for the dullest months of the year, let’s reflect on the past 9 or so months of apex clipping action. In this article, I thought it would be a good idea to take a look back at some of the biggest GT3-only races and championships of the year. I will try to break down the stats and find out exactly which car has been the most successful in 2018.
In order to do this, I have taken the results from every race in the Blancpain GT Series and GT Open as well as the main race from the Macau GP. I have only used GT3-only races as I feel that the traffic involved in endurance and multi-class racing can make even the best car have issues. This would be the result of driver error and not due to the car which is what this comparison is about. Also, by comparing multiple races from multiple series, we are reducing the factor of BOP. BOP or Balance Of Performance is when the governing body of the series adds weight or reduces power to make the different cars more equal on certain tracks. As the BOP changes from race to race, we can only know which car is statistically the “best” by comparing many races. As you can see in the spreadsheet below, I have taken the results of every race by counting the quantity of participation of each car and counted the number of wins each type of car has. For example, if there are 3 Audis, 4 BMWs and 2 Astons in one race that a BMW won, and 1 Audi, 6 BMWs and 4 Bentleys in another that a Bentley won, I would count that as 4 Audis, 10 BMWs with one win, 2 Astons and 4 Bentleys with one win. I would then calculate the percentage of wins per car entered.
If that doesn’t make much sense, these spreadsheets should help.
As you can see, in the Blancpain GT Series and at the Macau GP, the BMW M6 was the most successful car at 7.7% and 100% respective race win percentage. However, in the GT Open, it is the Ferrari that runs away with the crown at nearly 9% of every car entry translating to a win.
Here, you can see what it looks like if you add it all together.
So, if we put those figures together, we can see that it is still the BMW that runs away as statistically the most successful GT3 car of the year based on wins per entry at 8.2%. And as we all know, you only enter a race if you want to win. Racing drivers would always prefer the top step on the podium than P2 or 3. However, interestingly, by adding the stats together, we can see that the Ferrari 488 GT3, the Audi R8 GT3 and the old version of the Aston Martin Vantage GT3 are all very close with only 0.4% of wins/entry seperating P2 to P4. It is the Ferrari that takes second place though as it has wins in both the GT Open and Blancpain Series allowing it to be 0.2% ahead of its competitors. Surprisingly to some, the Audi doesn’t manage to beat the Aston. Finally, you will notice that at 2.4% of every entry translating to a win, the Mercedes is far off the top 4 cars despite being the car that won both the Blancpain GT Series.
With all this information, it could be easy to predict the results of the upcoming FIA GT Nations Cup in Bahrain in two weeks. However, with the BMW not represented, the next best is the Ferrari. Thankfully, this car will be running in the Arabian desert and there will even be 9 examples of the car. So if you're from either the UK, Japan, Italy, Belarus, Mexico, Denmark, Thailand, Germany or Russia, you may have better odds of winning than the rest.